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Are Prediction Markets Gambling? A Lot Rides on the Answer.
30 September 2026

Are Prediction Markets Gambling? A Lot Rides on the Answer.

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Podcast: The Daily (LS 90 · TOP 0.01% what is this?)
Episode: Are Prediction Markets Gambling? A Lot Rides on the Answer.
Pub date: 2026-09-29

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Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket have gained huge popularity over the past year. These marketplaces allow you to wager on just about anything — whether it’s who will win a football game or the weather in New York City.

David Yaffe-Bellany, a technology reporter for The New York Times, discusses the legal challenge these platforms now face and how it could determine their future.

Guest: David Yaffe-Bellany, a technology reporter for The New York Times.

Background reading: 

    A clash between prediction markets and states has set off a furious political battle.Donald Trump Jr.’s firm led a $1 billion funding round for Polymarket.

Photo: Eric Helgas for The New York Times


For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.

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