Enterprise account executives are now signing for $200,000 salaries, $200,000 variable comp plans, and up to half a million dollars in equity at sign-on. Meanwhile, offer acceptance at the top AI companies sits at 45% and half of the 38,000 startup sales reps in San Francisco and New York have taken a new job in the last two years. In this episode, Sam Jacobs, AJ Bruno, and Asad Zaman go hosts-only on why the sales talent market broke, what QuotaPath's compensation data across more than 1,400 companies says about quota attainment splitting into a barbell, and why Paul Graham calling go-to-market bogus says more about Silicon Valley's blind spot than it does about sales. Plus, where young sellers still get their start, whether a CRO can be great without ever carrying a bag, why go-to-market cannot rescue a company that has lost product-market fit, and what HubSpot's 20% stock drop signals for every SaaS business trying to make the AI transition.
Key Takeaways:
- The AI buildout has drained the two talent pools it depends on, and compensation is repricing in real time. As Asad Zaman, CEO of STA, described the enterprise AE market: "Enterprise account executives now get paid $200,000 salaries, $200,000 variable comp plans, up to half a million dollars in equity at sign-on. That used to be $150,000 to $175,000 at the top end, just like a year and a bit ago." With 38,000 startup software sellers in San Francisco and New York and a quarter of them changing jobs in the last twelve months, the constraint on AI companies hitting escape velocity is no longer capital, it is people.
- The jobs data cuts against the automation narrative. Sam Jacobs, CEO of Pavilion, pointed to the Philippines outsourcing sector, 8% of that country's GDP, where employment in IT and business outsourcing is up 20% to 1.9 million workers and industry revenue is up 30% to $42 billion since the launch of ChatGPT: "I just think, you know, it's Jevons' paradox. It is what happens with every new piece of technology. Everybody thinks the technology is going to wipe everybody out, and instead the economy adapts." Companies are leaner per dollar of revenue and still cannot hire fast enough.
- Quota attainment is no longer distributed the way comp plans assume. QuotaPath's first-half numbers put 58% of AEs on track against annual quota versus 55% a year ago, but as AJ Bruno, CEO of QuotaPath, explained, the shape underneath moved: "the standard deviation is way higher this year. Meaning that the winners are going to be winning more … So it's more like a barbell than it is a bell curve." At some AI companies two reps out of ten are closing half the entire number, which breaks the capacity math most sales leaders use to set targets.
- For individual sellers, the window matters more than the title. Asad Zaman's advice to reps weighing a step up into leadership: "this is the moment where you can make millions of dollars right now … So don't make silly choices … Become a leader later. Go make money right now." He now benchmarks offers on whether 300% of plan clears a million dollars, and warns that private equity portfolio companies that never gave equity to individual contributors are losing these candidates outright.
Connect with the Hosts:
Host: Sam Jacobs, CEO at Pavilion - https://www.linkedin.com/in/samfjacobs/
Host: AJ Bruno, CEO at QuotaPath - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ajbruno3/
Host: Asad Zaman, CEO at STA - https://www.linkedin.com/in/azaman1/
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Chapters:
00:00 Three Hosts, Three Topics
02:19 The Talent Market Has Gone Crazy
05:42 $200K Base, $200K Variable
09:00 AI Was Supposed To Kill Sales
15:16 Go Make A Million Right Now
16:53 Where Young Sellers Get Their Start
23:20 Build A University Inside The Company
31:58 Paul Graham Versus Go-To-Market
36:22 Why YC Misses Enterprise Software
40:55 Can A Non-Seller Be A Great CRO?
44:42 GTM Cannot Fix Product-Market Fit
49:30 One To Ten To A Hundred
53:38 Quota Attainment Is A Barbell
1:02:41 The HubSpot Nightmare
1:06:05 Falling Back In Love With The Business