Rate Cuts Coming? Why Markets, Mortgages, and the Consumer Are Defying Expectations | Money Moves

In this episode of Money Moves, Matty A. and Ryan Breedwell dive deep into the economic landscape following the government reopening. They break down what the latest (and long-delayed) data tells us about inflation, unemployment, rate-cut probabilities, market psychology, crypto volatility, and the evolving dynamics of the housing market—including portable mortgages, 50-year loans, and the changing profile of the post-COVID consumer.

From government dysfunction to AI’s impact on job openings, distressed CRE, stock-market forecasts, crypto fear cycles, and the staggering amount of cash sitting on the sidelines, this episode is packed with real-world, data-driven insight to help investors navigate uncertain times with clarity and confidence.

Topics Covered:

Government reopening, shutdown damage, and the 43-day data blackoutJob losses, jobless claims, and AI’s effect on hiringRate-cut probability and the Fed’s upcoming decisionsWhy fear is spiking despite strong consumer balance sheetsMarket psychology and how retail investors get trappedCrypto’s violent pullback—and why opportunity is risingTariffs, consumer habits, and the “post-COVID” buyerCommercial real-estate distress brewing for 202650-year mortgages, portable mortgages, and housing-market innovationWhy $7.6 trillion in cash is waiting to rush back into marketsPelosi’s insane stock-market returns and debates on banning congressional trading

If you’re an investor wondering how to position yourself heading into the holiday season and into 2026, this episode is packed with must-know insights.

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