Conflict in Iran: how long will it last, and what will be the economic impact?
05 March 2026

Conflict in Iran: how long will it last, and what will be the economic impact?

Macro Bytes

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The war in Iran and the wider Middle East has dealt a significant blow to asset prices. Paul, Luke and Lizzy look at the US and Israel’s war aims and examine why Iran’s response has been larger than expected. They go on to consider what asset prices appear to be pricing in about the likely outcome of the conflict, and what this could mean for growth, inflation and interest rates. They also reflect on how US policy fits within Trump’s broader foreign policy agenda.