Japan US Trade Tensions Escalate as Trump Tariffs Slash Exports and Shrink Trade Surplus in 2025
25 January 2026

Japan US Trade Tensions Escalate as Trump Tariffs Slash Exports and Shrink Trade Surplus in 2025

Japan Tariff News and Tracker

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Welcome to Japan Tariff News and Tracker, your essential update on how U.S. tariffs under President Trump are reshaping trade with Japan.

Japan's exports to the U.S. plunged 11.1% in December to 1.81 trillion yen, or about $11.4 billion, with the trade surplus shrinking 31.7%, according to Japan's finance ministry data reported by TBS News. For all of 2025, exports fell 4.1%, driven by drops in cars and auto parts amid biting tariffs, while imports of liquefied petroleum gas and cereals rose.

A pivotal July 2025 trade deal between Tokyo and Washington cut auto tariffs from a feared 25% to 15%, covering the sector that makes up 30% of Japan's U.S. exports, as noted by The Japan Times. Japanese officials and business leaders still call the 15% rate high compared to pre-Trump levels. By late 2026, Wikipedia's overview of second-term tariffs confirms auto parts duties for Japan settled at 15%, following negotiations alongside reductions to 10% for the UK and similar for South Korea and the EU.

President Trump's April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements shocked markets, including Japan, prompting a study in Archives of Business Research. It found Trump's statements and social media posts had no short-term impact on Japanese stock prices—only exchange rate fluctuations mattered, with effects fading after days.

Broader U.S. actions ripple through Asia: Tariffs hit 24% on Japan, per Grain.org analysis, while Trump recently threatened Canada with 100% duties over its China deal, as reported by The Japan Times and Supply Chain Dive. Japan Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has held White House talks with Trump, amid photos of economic officials like Ryosei Akazawa negotiating.

These tariffs contribute to Japan's fifth straight trade deficit in 2025 at 2.65 trillion yen, underscoring the high stakes for Tokyo.

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