About
Milkshake lost all his money following a tout, and it set him off on a journey to figure out how to win money sports betting.
Show Notes
[00:00] Introduction of sports better, Milkshake
[00:38] Milkshake’s path into advantage play
[03:09] Top-down betting and going to BetBash 2
[05:25] Moving for professional bettors
[09:38] Odds screens, arbitrage, limiting, and nuances of top-down
[15:42] Why did $600 move a major market?
[16:45] What percentage of Milkshake’s action today is moving versus modeling?
[18:24] Making in prediction markets
[19:10] Evaluating potential movers
[21:57] Betting at kiosks
[24:50] Source of truth
[26:44] Setting up partnerships
[28:22] Camouflage bets, priming accounts
[30:45] Faking the market
[32:28] Should winning accounts go dormant before being limited?
[33:43] Shifting the closing line to avoid CLV
[34:51] Milkshake's book and podcast recommendations
[36:10] Using sportsbook bonuses
[39:29] How will Milkshake's betting evolve over the next few years?
[41:54] Relevant knowledge of sports when top-down betting
[43:09] In-game betting
[44:17] Can value be found in a team's losing streaks?
Links:
x.com/BeBetterBettors
x.com/halfkelly
Logic of Sports Betting by Ed-Miller https://amzn.to/4x6Wx67
Show Notes
[00:00] Introduction of sports better, Milkshake
[00:38] Milkshake’s path into advantage play
[03:09] Top-down betting and going to BetBash 2
[05:25] Moving for professional bettors
[09:38] Odds screens, arbitrage, limiting, and nuances of top-down
[15:42] Why did $600 move a major market?
[16:45] What percentage of Milkshake’s action today is moving versus modeling?
[18:24] Making in prediction markets
[19:10] Evaluating potential movers
[21:57] Betting at kiosks
[24:50] Source of truth
[26:44] Setting up partnerships
[28:22] Camouflage bets, priming accounts
[30:45] Faking the market
[32:28] Should winning accounts go dormant before being limited?
[33:43] Shifting the closing line to avoid CLV
[34:51] Milkshake's book and podcast recommendations
[36:10] Using sportsbook bonuses
[39:29] How will Milkshake's betting evolve over the next few years?
[41:54] Relevant knowledge of sports when top-down betting
[43:09] In-game betting
[44:17] Can value be found in a team's losing streaks?
Links:
x.com/BeBetterBettors
x.com/halfkelly
Logic of Sports Betting by Ed-Miller https://amzn.to/4x6Wx67