US China Trade War Escalates Under Trump 2.0: Tariffs Soar to 45% Crushing Imports and Reshaping Global Supply Chains
06 February 2026

US China Trade War Escalates Under Trump 2.0: Tariffs Soar to 45% Crushing Imports and Reshaping Global Supply Chains

China Tariff News and Tracker

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Welcome to China Tariff News and Tracker, your essential update on the escalating trade tensions between the US and China under President Trump's second administration.

As of early February 2026, US tariffs on Chinese goods remain punishingly high, with effective rates hitting 20% baseline under IEEPA for fentanyl-related measures, spiking to 45% when layered with Section 301 and Section 232 duties on targeted items like steel, aluminum, and electronics, according to the Trump 2.0 Tariff Tracker from Trade Compliance Resource Hub. The overall US effective tariff rate has climbed to 10.1% in 2026—the highest since 1946—driving a 45% plunge in Chinese imports by November 2025, as reported by Fitch Ratings.

Recent headlines spotlight volatility: On February 2, Trump announced a reciprocal tariff reduction to 18% on certain goods, but China-specific pressures persist. Wikipedia's overview of second-term tariffs notes a temporary 90-day deal extended into late 2025, where China cut its tariffs on US goods to 10% and resumed rare-earth exports, prompting the US to ease its fentanyl tariff from 20% to 10% after Trump's October meeting with Xi Jinping in South Korea—tied to Chinese purchases of US soybeans and farm products. Yet, threats linger: October 2025 saw Trump warn of 100% additional tariffs over China's rare-earth export controls, per the same tracker.

De minimis exemptions for low-value Chinese shipments face 90% duties or $75-$150 per item since May 2025, slamming e-commerce. USTR's October 2025 notice imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese ship-to-shore cranes and maritime equipment, with more proposed. Manufacturers importing from China brace for $1,000 per household cost hikes, warns Wiss.com analysis.

China's Number One Document signals a policy shift, downplaying self-sufficiency and eyeing more US soybeans—Trump demanded 8 million metric tons extra—though Brazilian supplies stay cheaper, complicating deals, as detailed in recent ag trade podcasts.

These moves reshape global supply chains, hitting US GDP by up to 0.7% with retaliation, but Trump pushes on to curb deficits and boost manufacturing.

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