US China Trade War Escalates: Trump Tariffs Reshape Global Economy and Spark Protectionist Tensions in 2025
22 December 2025

US China Trade War Escalates: Trump Tariffs Reshape Global Economy and Spark Protectionist Tensions in 2025

China Tariff News and Tracker

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Welcome to China Tariff News and Tracker, listeners. In 2025, President Trump's aggressive tariff strategy reshaped global trade, with China at the epicenter of the storm. According to TRT World, the US rolled out tariffs in a helter-skelter manner—announcing, pausing, negotiating, and revising rates throughout the year. China dodged the highest proposed duties of up to 125 percent through intense diplomatic engagement, postponing implementation while others like Switzerland secured lower rates.

The Tax Foundation reports these tariffs equated to an average $1,100 tax hike per US household, driving up prices on everyday goods. PIIE economists Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland warn that Trump's planned 25 percent tariffs on Mexico, 10 percent on Canada, and steep ones on China could cost typical US households over $1,200 annually, hurting all involved economies. Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Ye Zhang from PIIE note that through July 2025, US businesses absorbed most costs, not Chinese exporters, via squeezed profit margins.

Beijing analyst Jianlu Bi tells TRT World this marked the end of post-WWII trade liberalization, using tariffs as a geopolitical weapon that fractured global flows and dragged growth, as echoed by IMF and World Bank projections. Yet China thrived amid the chaos, hitting an all-time high trade surplus over $1 trillion by boosting sales elsewhere, even as US imports dropped.

The ripple effects spread: Mexico's Senate just approved up to 50 percent tariffs on Chinese autos, steel, textiles, and more starting 2026, per North America Compass, signaling a protectionist shift. Cato Institute's Colin Grabow calls tariffs an inefficient tax but notes global trade still expanded mildly.

As 2025 closes, Trump's China tariffs remain a high-stakes gamble—generating revenue and near-shoring, but at the cost of higher prices and disrupted chains.

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