Rupee tumbled against the dollar
15 October 2024

Rupee tumbled against the dollar

Astra news network podcast
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Remember, uh, when you could get a chai and a samosa for under a hundred rupees,

yeah. Well, with the rupee hitting a record low of 84 to the dollar, right?

That's feeling like a distant memory. Yeah.

So today we're diving deep into why the rupee is falling, what it means for your wallet,

and if we can throw it a life preserver, we've got a fascinating article from A&N

News Network that really digs into all of this. It's definitely a hot topic. Yeah.

And you're right to home in on that 84 to one figure. Yeah.

It really highlights the bigger picture here. The US dollars dominance in global trade.

You know, I've always wondered about that. Why is the dollar the big kahuna in the global market?

It's a bit of a historical hangover, to be honest. After World War II, the US had a strong

economy and lots of gold reserves. Country started using the dollar for trade and it just sort of

stuck. Yeah. Today, it's the most traded currency even for countries that aren't directly doing

business with the US. So how does that impact us here in India with the rupees decline? We'll think

of it like this. India buys a lot of its oil from other countries and those transactions typically

happen in US dollars, not rupees. It's like needing to exchange your rupees for dollars at a

money exchange counter before you can buy anything, right, which automatically increases the demand

and therefore the value of the dollar. That demand can push the dollar up and conversely

push other currencies like the rupee down. This difference is reflected in the exchange rate.

And the more rupees you need to buy those dollars, the faster those rupees disappear from your wallet.

It's like watching the value of your money evaporate in thin air. Exactly. It's a classic case of

supply and demand playing out on a global scale. And this gap between how much India earns from

exports versus how much it spends on imports, that's what economists call a current account deficit

and it could put even more pressure on the rupee. That sounds like a bit of a vicious cycle.

We need dollars to buy oil, which weakens the rupee, which makes everything more expensive.

Ouch. It can be a tough situation for sure, especially for everyday Indians feeling the pinch.

The article did mention something about exports potentially benefiting from a weaker rupee though.

Is that the silver lining here? It can be for certain sectors. When the rupee

weakens, it makes Indian goods and services cheaper for other countries to buy.

Let's say you're a business owner exporting textiles to the US. Suddenly your products become

more competitive because American buyers are essentially getting a discount.

Okay, so there's a potential upside for some. This A&N article also dives into some potential

solutions for strengthening the rupee, right? It's not all doom and gloom. Exactly. And a lot of

it boils down to strengthening the Indian economy as a whole. The article really emphasizes

this idea of attracting more foreign direct investment or FDI.

FDI, that's when companies from other countries invest in Indian businesses, right?

Precisely. And it's not just about the money itself, although that's certainly welcome.

FDI often brings in new technologies, creates jobs, and boosts overall economic activity.

Plus, when foreign companies invest in India, they bring in dollars, which can help increase

the demand for rupees and hopefully its value. Okay, so more FDI equals more demand for rupees.

That makes sense. What are some of the other strategies the article highlights?

Is it all about attracting foreign investment or are there other levers we can pull?

Attracting foreign investment is a good start. Right. But the article also talked about

boosting our own exports. Yeah. It seems like we keep circling back to this idea of self-reliance.

Absolutely. And that's where they make an India initiative comes in. Okay.

The article highlights its potential. If India can become a hub for manufacturing and producing

high quality goods domestically, it reduces our reliance on those pricey imports.

Less demand for foreign goods means less demand for foreign currency, which could help stabilize

the rupee. So instead of importing that fancy coffee maker, we become known for making them

right here in India. I like the sound of that. Exactly. And it's not just about consumer goods,

think about pharmaceuticals, technology, renewable energy, the possibilities are vast.

But the article also points out some of the hurdles we face.

Like what's holding us back? Well, according to the article, India has to navigate a pretty

complex regulatory environment. There's a lot of bureaucracy that can be a turn off for foreign

investors. And then there's the issue of infrastructure when you better roads, more reliable

electricity, smoother logistics, all of those things factor into the cost of doing business.

It's like building a house. You need a strong foundation before you can start putting up walls.

Exactly. And that foundation includes a skilled workforce. The article emphasizes the importance

of education and skills development. We need to equip our people with the tools and knowledge

to compete in a globalized economy. That makes sense. A more educated and skilled workforce can

attract better jobs, higher salaries, and ultimately contribute to a stronger economy overall.

It's all connected. It really is. And a strong economy with robust exports and a steady flow

of foreign investment is the best recipe for a healthy rupee. Okay, so we've talked about

boosting exports and attracting FDI. What about the other side of the coin earning foreign currency

directly? Right. The article dives into a couple of other key sectors. Tourism and services.

India has so much to offer the world from ancient history and vibrant culture to breathtaking

landscapes. Every tourist who visits spends money, which contributes to the demand for rupees.

It's like a mini stimulus package every time someone books a trip to the Taj Mahal.

Exactly. And then there's India's booming services sector, particularly IT and software

development. These industries are exporting their expertise all over the world, bringing

invaluable foreign currency. So it's about leveraging our strengths, whether that's our rich

cultural heritage, our technological prowess, or even our delicious samoses to boost the rupee.

Precisely. And while these sectors offer great potential, the article emphasizes that there's no

quick fix. Long term sustainable growth requires a multi-pronged approach. A bit like that old saying

it takes a village to raise a rupee. Okay, maybe that's not quite how the saying goes, but you get

the idea. So where do we go from here? Is there a magic formula for getting the rupee back on track?

A bit like that old saying it takes a village to raise a rupee. Okay, maybe that's not quite how

the saying goes, but you get the idea. So where do we go from here? Is there a magic formula for

getting the rupee back on track? Not exactly magic formula, but the article does stress the need

for those long-term economic reforms we talked about cutting red tape, improving infrastructure,

fostering innovation. These things take time, but they create a more attractive environment for both

domestic and foreign investment, which ultimately strengthens the foundation for a more stable rupee.

So it's about playing a long game, building a more resilient and robust economy overall.

No get rich quick schemes for the rupee, huh? Definitely not. And it's important to remember

that we're not operating in a vacuum. Global events like that conflict we mentioned earlier or even

economic shifts in other countries can have a ripple effect on currencies around the world,

including the rupee. That makes sense. It feels like we're all part of this intricate web,

and sometimes it feels like those global forces are pulling the strings. It's true, and it makes

you wonder, given how interconnected everything is, can any country truly control its currencies

destiny in the long run? It's a question worth pondering, don't you think? It really is.

This whole deep dive has really given me a new perspective on those seemingly abstract

financial numbers we see in the news. It's not just about exchange rates, it's about our economy,

our skills, even our vacation plans. Thanks for unpacking this with me, I feel much more informed.

My pleasure, it's always fascinating to explore these connections and consider the bigger picture.

Absolutely. And for our listeners, if you're planning a trip abroad anytime soon,

maybe stock up on those foreign currencies while you can. Until next time, keep those brains engaged

everyone.